Next Hour
Bearish
Bullish 38% · Bearish 62%
$66,507 – $66,650
Confidence Moderate
Loading Bitcoin predictions…
Short timers (5 minutes to 1 hour) and the 24-hour technical lean. BTC is $66,638. These are chances, not guarantees.
In the next few minutes, is Bitcoin more likely to finish higher or lower than the starting price?
Live Bitcoin price
$66,638
-4.10% today · Bitcoin is 59% of all crypto
Will Bitcoin finish higher or lower in the next 5 min?
Pick a timer. When it hits zero, UP wins if Bitcoin is above the starting price.
DOWN looks more likely
Chance it finishes higher: 44% · Chance it finishes lower: 56%
How sure is the model? Low — treat this as a coin flip.
The rule for this round
Starting price (price to beat): $67,059
Bitcoin now: $66,638 — already below by $421.30
Time left: 02:51
This is a percentage guess, not a promise. Short timers (especially 5 minutes) are often random.
Polymarket is a real-money crowd bet on whether Bitcoin finishes higher this round. If we disagree, that gap is the “edge.”
BitRadar thinks
Lower 56%
Bettors think
60% higher
Difference
We are 16 points more DOWN
Green leans up. Red leans down. Yellow is mixed.
Price speed
Falling
Is Bitcoin moving up or down right now?
Trading activity
Picking up
Are more people buying and selling than usual?
Who is in control
Even
Are aggressive buyers or sellers pushing the price?
Squeezes
Down-bets at risk
Traders using borrowed money who may be forced to close.
Crowd lean
—
When everyone bets the same way, the opposite move often hurts them.
New bets
—
Is new money entering Bitcoin futures, or leaving?
Mood
13 — Extreme Fear
0 is extreme fear, 100 is extreme greed. Extreme readings often fade.
After each timer ends we check: was Bitcoin actually higher or lower? These numbers are real past calls, not the live guess above.
Recent scoreboard
A bigger sample
The fairest track record
Hardest — lots of noise
Longer bars mean more activity at that price. Red is above the live price (down-bets hurt if Bitcoin rises). Green is below (up-bets hurt if Bitcoin falls).
When someone trading with borrowed money is forced out. Long = they were betting up. Short = they were betting down.
Single trades over $75,000. Buy = someone paid up. Sell = someone dumped.
Our call vs what bettors thought vs what actually happened.
| Time | Timer | Our call | Bettors | What happened |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1:30:00 PM | 5m | Lower 56% | 60% higher | Still running |
| — | 1h | Lower 62% | — | Still running |
| — | 1h | Higher 56% | — | Finished lower — we were wrong |
Bitcoin Market Forecast
Next 24 Hours
Bullish Probability: 41%
Bearish Probability: 59%
Model confidence: Moderate
Expected range: $65,904 – $67,252
Market Bias: Bearish
Predictions are probabilistic estimates based on market data and technical indicators — not guarantees, and not financial advice. Short horizons (especially five minutes) are noisy.
Next Hour
Bearish
Bullish 38% · Bearish 62%
$66,507 – $66,650
Confidence Moderate
Next 4 Hours
Bearish
Bullish 41% · Bearish 59%
$66,241 – $66,915
Confidence Moderate
Next 24 Hours
Bearish
Bullish 41% · Bearish 59%
$65,904 – $67,252
Confidence Moderate
Next 7 Days
Bearish
Bullish 42% · Bearish 58%
$58,501 – $74,656
Confidence Moderate
Floors (support)
Ceilings (resistance)
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 29.2 | Strong Buy |
| MACD | Bullish (-684.6) | Buy |
| EMA 20 | $67,630 | Sell |
| EMA 50 | $69,090 | Sell |
| EMA 200 | $72,818 | Strong Sell |
| SMA 50 | $69,180 | Sell |
| SMA 200 | $73,419 | Strong Sell |
| Volume trend | -37.2% | Sell |
| Momentum | -0.12% | Neutral |
| ATR (14) | $481 | Neutral |
| Bollinger mid | $67,658 | Sell |
Overall Technical Rating: SELL
| Date | Window | Bias | BTC then | After | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14 | 7d | Bearish — 42% | $66,578 | Pending | Pending |
| Nov 14 | 24h | Bearish — 41% | $66,578 | Pending | Pending |
| Nov 14 | 4h | Bearish — 41% | $66,578 | Pending | Pending |
| Nov 14 | 1h | Bearish — 38% | $66,578 | Pending | Pending |
| Aug 19 | 7d | Neutral — 50% | $69,418 | $66,578 | ✗ Incorrect |
| Aug 19 | 24h | Bullish — 65% | $69,418 | $66,578 | ✗ Incorrect |
| Aug 19 | 4h | Bullish — 65% | $69,418 | $66,578 | ✗ Incorrect |
The prediction engine adds and subtracts points when RSI, MACD, moving averages, volume, momentum, and volatility bands line up. A high bullish probability means more of those rules currently fire on the long side. It does not mean Bitcoin will close higher.
News, liquidations, and weekend liquidity can overrule any indicator stack. Treat the expected range as a volatility envelope from ATR, not a promised corridor.
Version 1 is a rule-based technical scoring system. It does not generate random probabilities and does not claim a neural network is picking the next candle.
Next hour, next 4 hours, next 24 hours, and next 7 days. Each uses indicator weights suited to that horizon.
Every forecast is stored. When the window ends, the actual BTC price is recorded and marked correct or incorrect. Open prediction history to audit the record.
| Aug 19 |
| 1h |
| Bullish — 56% |
| $69,418 |
| $66,578 |
| ✗ Incorrect |